Sarah Palin gained international recognition upon her selection
by John McCain as the 2008
Republican vice presidential nominee. In the past year Palin has
become immensely popular among a
large portion of the GOP base. Her new book, 'Going Rogue: An
American Life', sold more than 1
million copies in the first two weeks and has topped the New York
Times best-seller list since late November 2009.
In February 2010, Palin said she would run in 2012 "if I believed
that that is the right thing to
do for our country and for the Palin family." Palin has also
gone on the attack saying that
potential 2012 contender Mike Huckabee made a "horrible decision"
nine years ago when granting
clemency to the man suspected in the killing of four police
officers in Washington State on November 29th, 2009. She is also
weighing in on nearly all Obama initiatives and voicing her
opposition at every opportunity.
While Palin possesses huge star power among Republican
conservatives, a recent ABC News/Washington
Post poll shows that six in 10 Americans view her as unqualified
for the job of President in 2012.
This is a sharp drop from Palin?s 6 in 10 approval rate peak in
November 2008 but has remained
basically unchanged in the past year. Additionally, her July
4th, 2009 'resignation without
explanation' as governor of Alaska before completing her first
term and her stumbles on policy matters, especially foreign
relations, have led to numerous attacks.
Nonetheless, Sarah Palin is a force that the Republican Party
must reckon with. She has
effectively used social media and has tapped into the Republican
base. Unlike her male
counterparts, she faces stereotypical assumptions that she's not
tough enough and dismissive
attitudes about her qualifications and intellect. She is however
going to be the rallying point for conservative Republicans in
the 2012 elections.
Following the major roles of Sarah Palin and Hillary Clinton in
the 2008 race, the election of our
first female president does not seem too far off.
The Barack Obama juggernaut swept into office in 2008 under the
banner of change and unity, two concepts that appeared to
reinvigorate the blasé and jaded section of the electorate. He
was armed with a war chest of the likes never seen before,
accompanied by an army of politically outspoken glitterati and
aided ultimately by a waning George Bush, his predecessor.
It would be unfair though to solely credit Obama’s ascension to
the highest office in the land to merely external factors. Obama
is exceptionally intelligent, articulate and possesses an
old-school, hands-on approach to politics that harkens back to
the days of Strom Thurmond, or even, the more contemporary Rudy
Giuliani – albeit with infinitely more panache.
However, as the euphoria of his victory steadily dies down, the
50-year old has had to deal with a growing number of issues that
have taken the shine of his presidency. Questions about his much
derided health care plan, rising unemployment rates, the
direction and perceived big government approach towards the
Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), the Birther accusations
(which many felt carries an unpleasant racial undertones) and
more recently, the debt ceiling battle in the Capitol, have seen
his stock plummet.
His supporters, nevertheless, claim that most of the issues that
are weighing him down were inherited from the previous
administration, and Obama is merely cleaning up the mess. They
are quick to highlight his recent successes against Osama bin
Laden, the jobs created in the two years of his administration
that the Bush administration could not match in eight years, the
recovery of the automotive industry following the Obama-led
bailout plan two years ago – all proof of President Obama’s
successful policies.
However, the biggest question among his detractors is whether
Obama is capable of charting his own course and holding the
country to it, as his concessionary approach is gradually being
interpreted as a symbol of his indecisiveness and lack of
convictions; which under the present socio-economic conditions
and the Republican-dominated Congress, threatens to consign the
nation into a rudderless second term of his presidency.
Furthermore, the more liberal section of his support base is
increasingly dismayed by his apparent shift to the center,
perceived by many as capitulating to the conservative
onslaught.
But Obama, in the continued absence of a credible Republican
candidate, appears poised to claim his second term at the Oval
Office. The resolution of the debt ceiling fiasco, the marginal
success of his foreign policies in North Africa and the
stabilizing crude oil prices may well give Obama the final push
needed to secure his reelection.